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2015 GRAND NATIONAL RUNNERS & ODDS
Find out which horses are running and their latest odds…
Added the Irish Grand National to his growing collection of trophies in 2014, a haul which also includes a Novice Chase win at Aintree. Speculation is mounting that champion jockey AP McCoy who recently shocked the racing world with news of his impending retirement will partner Shutthefrontdoor for is last ride at Aintree. The current odds reflect how formidable this pairing could be.
NO. 9 | JOCKEY: UNKNOWN | FORM: 12461-1 | WEIGHT: 11-02 | AGE: 8 | TRAINER: J. O’NEILL
Finished 5th in the 2014 National and capable of going even better in 2015 but he will carry a higher weight this time round. Pulled up in the Hennessy Gold Cup in November but ran a blinder to win at Kempton in the Betbright Chase in February 2015 making him a very solid contender.
NO. 5 | JOCKEY: UNKNOWN | FORM: 25-2P1 | WEIGHT: 11-03 | AGE: 9 | TRAINER: P. NICHOLLS
Second in the 2014 Grand National and based on that performance you’d expect him to go close again. Raised a few pounds by the handicapper for the 2015 renewal but that shouldn’t be a major concern for this smart chaser. Despite the short odds each-way punters could still see a profit if they back the King.
NO. 7 | JOCKEY: UNKNOWN | FORM: 112-F11 | WEIGHT: 11-02 | AGE: 11 | TRAINER: P. HOBBS
THE DRUIDS NEPHEW
Odds plummeted on the Neil Mulholland trained eight year old following his superb win in the Handicap Chase at the Cheltenham Festival. From 13 chase starts he’s had three wins and four places and is starting to tick all the right boxes for the Grand National.
NO. 21 | JOCKEY: UNKNOWN | FORM: 12751 | WEIGHT: 10-09 | AGE: 8 | TRAINER: N. MULHOLLAND
A Winner of the Kim Muir H’Cap Chase at Cheltenham in 2014 Spring Heeled has been handed a fair weight for the Grand National and could do well if the going is good as this is where the bulk of his earnings have come from. Has had 14 chase starts returning a win or a place in 50% of them.
NO. 14 | JOCKEY: UNKNOWN | FORM: 015-44 | WEIGHT: 10-12 | AGE: 8 | TRAINER: JIM CULLOTY
Winner of the Scottish Grand National back in 2013, and scored a 2nd place in the same race a year later. Godsmejudge is one of only a few horses entered into this year’s National to have won at four miles plus. However, he was pulled up at Doncaster in January, managed a fifth place at Kempton in February but last, in 11th place, when running at Bangor in March.
NO. 23 | JOCKEY: UNKNOWN | FORM: 23-P50 | WEIGHT: 10-08 | AGE: 9 | TRAINER: ALAN KING
Odds on Unioniste tumbled after a good win at Sandown was followed up with a third place in the Betfair Denman Chase at Newbury. He’s already won twice at Aintree including a Novices’ Chase in 2012. However, the fact remains it’s been over 75 years since a horse this young has won the Grand National.
NO. 4 | JOCKEY: UNKNOWN | FORM: 38-613 | WEIGHT: 11-06 | AGE: 7 | TRAINER: P. NICHOLLS
CAUSE OF CAUSES
From 50/1 to 20/1 following his win in the National Hunt Chase at the Cheltenham Festival, but before you put your house on him, it was his first win in more than two years and he’s only seven years old so may not be plain sailing in the Grand National.
NO. 22 | JOCKEY: UNKNOWN | FORM: 20-751 | WEIGHT: 10-09 | AGE: 7 | TRAINER: G. ELLIOTT
A case of “always the bridesmaid – never the bride” for Merry King, having placed in the Hennessy Gold Cup (twice), the Scottish Grand National (twice) and The Peter Marsh Chase. On-the-nose backers might want to look elsewhere, but eachway punters could make merry with the king. Remember Paddy Power payout to five places!
NO. 33 | JOCKEY: UNKNOWN | FORM: P4-33P | WEIGHT: 10-05 | AGE: 8 | TRAINER: JONJO O’NEILL
PINEAU DE RE
The Grand National winner in 2014 has been given an extra 8lbs to carry this time round and that weight is likely to rise as other horses get withdrawn, back-to-back wins are not impossible but it seems unlikely Pineau De Re will repeat his success of 12 months ago.
NO. 12 | JOCKEY: UNKNOWN | FORM: 1-0P80 | WEIGHT: 11-00 | AGE: 12 | TRAINER: DR R NEWLAND
Unseated his jockey in 2014 but previously ran a cracker in 2013 coming third and has been given a lot less weight in 2015 which will help his chances. Having a good season so far and no doubt he’ll be a popular selection with punters.
NO. 28 | JOCKEY: UNKNOWN | FORM: 28U-14 | WEIGHT: 10-07 | AGE: 11 | TRAINER: R. CURTIS
Finished a worthy 4th in the 2014 National, despite initially not even making the cut. Could do very well in 2015 as he will carry an ideal weight, is experienced over the fences, has previously placed and is the statistically the right age.
NO. 40 | JOCKEY: UNKNOWN | FORM: 51P4-5 | WEIGHT: 10-03 | AGE: 10 | TRAINER: F. O’BRIEN
Nothing will shorten the odds of a Grand National horse faster than telling people that Ruby Walsh will ride him and that’s why Ballycasey has gone from 100/1 to 25/1 overnight. With nine chase starts, winning three and placing in two more, he has won this season but pulled-up last time out at Cheltenham.
NO. 13 | JOCKEY: UNKNOWN | FORM: 2173P | WEIGHT: 10-13 | AGE: 8 | TRAINER: W. MULLINS
Royale Knight could be another ace up Dr Richard Newland’s sleeve this year and similar to Pineau De Re is a decent runner who has never fallen, refused or unseated his jockey and only pulled up once in his career back in 2012. A place in the race is not guaranteed so only time will tell if he makes the cut.
NO. 47 | JOCKEY: UNKNOWN | FORM: 3-4132 | WEIGHT: 10-02 | AGE: 9 | TRAINER: DR R NEWLAND
Ran in the 2013 Grand National to finish 7th so can get around the fences and go the distance. Moved from Jo Hughes to David Pipe in 2014 and has had two runs under his new trainer both of which he has won at Exeter and Newbury in February 2015 so on form and with a very decent weight, this could be his year.
NO. 49 | JOCKEY: UNKNOWN | FORM: 50-P11 | WEIGHT: 10-02 | AGE: 10 | TRAINER: D. PIPE
A fair way behind the leaders in 2014 but finished the race in 7th place. Has had a mixed season so far as was third in the Grand National Trial at Haydock in February but didn’t sparkle at all at Cheltenham. On a similar weight as last year and could give another good account of himself on April 11th.
NO. 26 | JOCKEY: UNKNOWN | FORM: 24430 | WEIGHT: 10-07 | AGE: 10 | TRAINER: M. SCUDAMORE
A 40/1 winner of the Scottish Grand National in 2014, Al Co is a solid horse who can go the distance. Didn’t start the season on good form but has upped his game with back-to-back third place finishes at Doncaster and more recently at Bangor in March.
NO. 25 | JOCKEY: UNKNOWN | FORM: 1-0P33 | WEIGHT: 10-08 | AGE: 10 | TRAINER: P. BOWEN
Finished 7th in the Irish Grand National in 2014 and unseated in the Becher Chase back in December but fully redeemed himself following a win in the Midlands Grand National on March 14th. However, a place at Aintree is not yet guaranteed.
NO. 56 | JOCKEY: UNKNOWN | FORM: 2U731 | WEIGHT: 9-13 | AGE: 8 | TRAINER: J. DREAPER
The oldest horse entered this year at 14 but with a win in the Becher over the Grand National fences in December he seems unstoppable. Twice previously placed in the Grand National and a win would make history for this stalworth of national hunt racing. His age goes against him but almost nothing else does.
NO. 34 | JOCKEY: UNKNOWN | FORM: 11U14 | WEIGHT: 10-05 | AGE: 14 | TRAINER: R. WALEY-COHEN
This season Rebel Rebellion has had seven races, winning at Ascot and Newbury, bagging a second place at Exeter and a fifth place at Aintree from the Grand Sefton Handicap Chase, which he won in 2013. A decent each-way bet as he’s always there or there abouts in the money.
NO. 15 | JOCKEY: UNKNOWN | FORM: 454121 | WEIGHT: 10-12 | AGE: 10 | TRAINER: P. NICHOLLS
Has all the right credentials for the Grand National – weight, age, form etc…and did run in the 2013 National where he finished in 9th place so he can get around the course and the fences. His only obvious downside is that he has only won two chases despite 21 starts but one of them was at Aintree in 2012.
NO. 33 | JOCKEY: UNKNOWN | FORM: F-3331 | WEIGHT: 10-06 | AGE: 9 | TRAINER: T. GEORGE
Has run twice in the Grand National, in 2010 when he unseated Graham Lee and in 2014 when he got around to finish in 12th spot. A win in the Kim Muir Handicap Chase at the Cheltenham Festival boosted his chances and reduced his odds.
NO. 52 | JOCKEY: UNKNOWN | FORM: 30-6P1 | WEIGHT: 10-00 | AGE: 12 | TRAINER: D. PIPE
NIGHT IN MILAN
Has returned a win or a place in 13 of his 18 chase starts, a solid and consistent jumper who frequently carries more than he has been given for the Grand National and the right age statistically so could be there or thereabouts on the day.
NO. 19 | JOCKEY: UNKNOWN | FORM: 40233 | WEIGHT: 10-09 | AGE: 9 | TRAINER: K. REVELEY
Winner at Cheltenham in November and followed that up with another win in the Betfred Chase at Aintree in December, Sam Winner was on a roll. But he has been heavily weighted and pulled up in the Cheltenham Gold Cup so a trip to Aintree is still not confirmed.
NO. 3 | JOCKEY: UNKNOWN | FORM: P-113P | WEIGHT: 11-08 | AGE: 8 | TRAINER: P. NICHOLLS
CHANCE DU ROY
Won the Becher Chase at Aintree in 2013 and went on to last year’s Grand National to finish in sixth place before heading back to the 2014 Becher where he finished in fifth. This horse knows how to get around those National fences and with his very decent weight could be the surprise in 2015.
NO. 39 | JOCKEY: UNKNOWN | FORM: P46-55 | WEIGHT: 10-04 | AGE: 11 | TRAINER: P HOBBS
With only seven chase starts with two wins and one place from Gallant Oscar and the fact that he started at number 77 on the list, it’s unlikely that we will see him line-up this year.
NO. 57 | JOCKEY: UNKNOWN | FORM: 12243 | WEIGHT: 9-13 | AGE: 9 | TRAINER: A.J. MARTIN
A potential runner whose odds plummeted from 100/1 on the back of a second place finish at Down Royal, a solid ninth place finish at Newcastle in the Eider Chase in February, performances that were on the back of a win and a second place at Punchestown with all four races taking place within nine weeks.
NO. 41 | JOCKEY: UNKNOWN | FORM: 8P1292 | WEIGHT: 10-03 | AGE: 10 | TRAINER: M PHELAN
THE RAINBOW HUNTER
Ran in Grand National 2014 and 2013 and unseated his jockey in both attempts. Has only had one race this season and that was at Kempton in February where he was pulled up by jockey Noel Fehily. A good horse when on form, he won the Sky Bet Chase at Doncaster in January 2014 and from 21 chase starts has won or placed in 10 of them.
NO. 28 | JOCKEY: UNKNOWN | FORM: 261U-P | WEIGHT: 10-07 | AGE: 11 | TRAINER: K. BAILEY
Bought with the Grand National in mind back in 2013, Wyck Hill has been unfortunate not to have made it there yet. Has had a couple of starts this season finishing second in January but fell on his last run out at Newcastle but could still come good on the day.
NO. 37 | JOCKEY: UNKNOWN | FORM: P16-2F | WEIGHT: 10-04 | AGE: 11 | TRAINER: D BRIDGWATER
ACROSS THE BAY
This will be the third Grand National attempt for Across The Bay who was very unlucky last year when hampered by a loose horse. Hasn’t had the best season so far and based on his current form may not challenge but does like Aintree.
NO. 31 | JOCKEY: UNKNOWN | FORM: 0-800B | WEIGHT: 10-06 | AGE: 11 | TRAINER: D. McCAIN
Was disappointing at Cheltenham but made up for it by winning the Bet365 Gold Cup Chase six weeks later at Sandown in April 2014. Will carry a lot of weight in the Grand National and pulled up at Sandown so work still needs to be done if he is expected to do well.
NO. 11 | JOCKEY: UNKNOWN | FORM: 101-6P | WEIGHT: 11-00 | AGE: 8 | TRAINER: N. HENDERSON
Third in the Irish Grand National in 2013, Home Farm is a handy horse who notched up another win in November at Thurles but fell in the Lexus Chase, could only manage 7th place from eight runners in the Hennessy Gold Cup and pulled up in the Cheltenham Gold Cup.
NO. 8 | JOCKEY: UNKNOWN | FORM: P-1F7P | WEIGHT: 11-02 | AGE: 8 | TRAINER: H. DE BROMHEAD
Finished 11th in the Becher Chase 2014 but followed it up with a solid win at Cheltenham in January 2015. Plenty of chase starts under his belt, 19 in total, returning six wins and another four places for connections.
NO. 17 | JOCKEY: UNKNOWN | FORM: 1-P015 | WEIGHT: 10-11 | AGE: 9 | TRAINER: P. NICHOLLS
RAZ DE MAREE
Ran in the 2014 National and finished in eighth place so knows how to get around the course and over the tricky fences. Has run three times since then, twice at Punchestown and on his last run out at Uttoxeter finished second to Goonyella. Has placed at over 4m and could do well if he gets in.
NO. 51 | JOCKEY: UNKNOWN | FORM: 38-842 | WEIGHT: 10-01 | AGE: 10 | TRAINER: S. HUGHES
Second in the National Hunt Chase at this year’s Cheltenham Festival, and has won or placed in five of his nine chase starts, Broadway Buffalo looks like a decent chaser but at only seven years of age he may need a little more experience and with no guarantee of a place this year may wait until the 2016 renewal.
NO. 53 | JOCKEY: UNKNOWN | FORM: 3515F2 | WEIGHT: 10-00 | AGE: 7 | TRAINER: D. PIPE
COURT BY SURPRISE
With two races and two wins this season, Court By Surprise could be the surprise of this year’s Grand National. With nine wins or places from 15 chase starts and a second place finish at 3m5f, he is starting to tick some boxes.
NO. 44 | JOCKEY: UNKNOWN | FORM: 265-11 | WEIGHT: 10-03 | AGE: 10 | TRAINER: E LAVELLE
Just 8 years old and trained by Warren Greatrex, Dolatulo has raced a lot for his age with 38 starts under race rules. Of them, 13 have been chases from which he’s won four and placed a further five times. His first trip to Aintree was the recent Becher Chase where he finished 8th.
NO. 16 | JOCKEY: UNKNOWN | FORM: 28180 | WEIGHT: 10-11 | AGE: 8 | TRAINER: W. GREATREX
First Lieutenant is trained by Mouse Morris. A very high profile horse who has earned connections over £500K during his career and has previously won at Aintree in the Betfred Bowl Chase. On the higher end of the weights, it shouldn’t trouble him too much and bypassing Cheltenham could be a sign that Aintree is the target.
NO. 6 | JOCKEY: UNKNOWN | FORM: 24683 | WEIGHT: 11-03 | AGE: 10 | TRAINER: M. MORRIS
The highest rated horse entered for the Grand National 2015 and joint top weight on 11-10, Lord Windermere is an exceptional horse with a Cheltenham Gold Cup under his belt from 2014, which was on the back of a RSA Chase win in 2013 but couldn’t repeat last year’s performance and pulled up in the Cheltenham Gold Cup 2015 on March 13th.
NO. 1 | JOCKEY: UNKNOWN | FORM: 1-373P | WEIGHT: 11-10 | AGE: 9 | TRAINER: J. CULLOTY
This horse was on a roll with three back-to-back wins at Carlisle, Newbury and at Cheltenham in January. Usually paired with Leighton Aspell, he will carry near top weight which may hinder him and didn’t perform as well as hoped in the Cheltenham Gold Cup, finishing in 6th place.
NO. 2 | JOCKEY: UNKNOWN | FORM: 4-1116 | WEIGHT: 11-09 | AGE: 8 | TRAINER: O. SHERWOOD
Trained by Paul Nicholls, Benvolio is the 2014 Welsh National runner-up and a chaser who has won two and placed in three of his eight starts. At 8 years of age, he hasn’t the experience of some of his fellow entrants with a total of just 12 runs under race rules, including four over hurdles.
NO. 24 | JOCKEY: UNKNOWN | FORM: 32-42P | WEIGHT: 10-08 | AGE: 8 | TRAINER: P. NICHOLLS
Odds Updated 25/03/2015
We give each horse a rating based on how closely it matches the past trends and statistics of previous winners.
Unlikely to mount a serious challenge.
Could place with a slice of luck.
A strong eachway chance and could even win it.
The horses listed above are official entrants in the 2015 Grand National. However, this does not guarantee all will take part in the race. A maximum field of 40 runners is permitted and currently 74 horses are still entered. Until the five day confirmation stage on the 6th April we will not know the exact line-up.
The good news is Paddy Power are now ‘Non Runner – No Bet’ on the 2015 Grand National, which is fantastic for punters as it guarantees your stake will be returned even if your horse doesn’t make the final line-up at Aintree. Until then why not take a look at the current odds on those runners we think are most likely to take part in the 2015 Crabbie’s Grand National.
Don’t forget Paddy Power Bookmakers are also offering FIVE PLACES on each-way bets, plus a FREE BET deal worth £20 for new customers.
Who Decides The Runners & Riders?
Every year 40 horses line up at the start of the Aintree Grand National and 600 million people worldwide tune in to watch them tackle the 30 notoriously difficult fences in a bid to put themselves into the history books. But how do those particular runners and riders make it to Grand National day?
A horse will be entered into the Grand National if it meets the minimum criteria for qualification and the owner and trainer feel the their horse is capable of handling the race. Not all horses are suited to the long Aintree course or have the necessary jumping ability. Even if a horse gets entered that doesn’t guarantee a place at the starting line.
The race is open to seven year old and upwards that have been placed first, second, third or fourth in a chase of three miles or more and who are allotted a rating of at least 120 by the BHA Handicapper.
The entry date for the race is always at the end of January, with the names and numbers announced by the BHA (British Horseracing Authority) the following day. In 2015 there were 98 entries, a decrease of 16 on the 114 entered in 2014.
The BHA Head Of Handicapping then takes the list of entries and frames the weights. In other words, he decides which horses will carry the heaviest weights and which will carry the least. The handicap system is designed to give every horse a fair chance of winning the race, good horses will carry more weight than those perceived to have less ability.
The maximum weight any horse can carry in the 2015 Grand National will be 11st 10lbs and the minimum is 10st. Each runner’s weight will be largely determined by their OR (Official Rating) and the higher the rating, the higher the weight. Although the Grand National is the only race in Britain in which the Handicapper can ignoring the official ratings if he wishes, often to the consternation of owners and trainers.
Horses are then put in descending order from the highest to the lowest weighted and that also determines their race number. The top-weighted horse is number one, second heaviest weighted horse is number two and so on.
The weights are then announced, in 2015 it was on February 18th, and from then on a series of ‘Declaration Stages’ take place. At each of these stages, horses can be withdrawn from the proceedings by their trainers and as they are removed and the entries get whittled down so even horses that have not initially made the Top 40 may now do so as entries above them are taken out.
The very last declaration stage takes place at 10am on the Thursday immediately before Grand National day. This is the point where the top 40 horses will be near completion along with four additional reserves.
The following morning, Friday, at 9am any non-runners must be declared and be replaced by one of the four reserves. This is also the point where any horses who were previously allocated weights of less than 10st will have their weight increased to meet requirements.
Finally this results in the 40 declared horses who will line up for the 2015 Crabbies Grand National.
The criteria for professional or amateur jockeys wanting to taking part in the race are very specific. They must have ridden not less than 15 winners in chases or hurdle races under the Rules of Racing and/or the Rules of the Irish National Hunt Committee and ridden not less than 10 of these winners in chases.
A champion jockey like A.P. McCoy who primarily rides for super owner J.P. McManus may have his pick of three or four horses in the race. Ruby Walsh is another top jockey who can often choose his ride and odds will tumble on any horses chosen by the pair.
Amateur jockeys are now a rarity in the Grand National compared with races early days. Sam Whaley-Cohen is probably the most famous amateur rider in recent years and he enjoys a record over the Aintree fences which is the envy of many a professional.
Other jockeys will usually ride for the yards that retain them or a trainer will engage their services just for this race. In recent years a number of high profile jockeys have missed the race due to injuries picked up at the Cheltenham festival which is the last major National Hunt meeting before Aintree.
Don’t be put off backing a less well known jockey or even one who has never ridden the course before. In 2013 jockey Ryan Mania won the race at his first attempt!
What Are Odds?
The odds quoted on any horse in the Grand National represent your potential returns if that horse should win. If a horse is quoted as 10/1 then the 10 figure is the amount you’ll get back from the bookie for a 1 unit stake. In other words, bet £1 and you’ll win £10 back. You’ll also get back the original £1 stake, making a total return of £11.
Who Decides The Odds?
The simple answer is the bookmakers. Initially bookies will offer odds on all the horses running in the National and the bookmaker is aiming to show a profit on the race regardless of the outcome. In many ways the bookmaker doesn’t care who wins, because if he can get the maths right, he will always come out on top. Although this doesn’t always happen over one race.
In a perfect world the spread of bets on the race would guarantee the bookie a nice profit whoever wins. However, if punters keep placing bets on one horse, lets call his horse ‘Lucky Punter’, at a level disproportionate to other runners then the bookie has built up a potential liability. If ‘Lucky Punter’ wins the race the bookie will lose a fortune and they really don’t like losing! To stop this happening the bookmaker has a couple of options. They can offer bigger odds on other runners and simultaneously shorten the odds on ‘Lucky Punter’ in the hope of attracting bets away from the horse with the big liability and onto other runners. This is why you see the odds fluctuating right up until the off.
So the bookmaker sets the odds initially but the volume of money place on any runner will move the odds right up until the race starts.
What’s An Each Way Bet?
The ‘Each Way’ bet works like this… Instead of betting on a horse to come 1st you can make a bet that your horse can finish 1st, 2nd, 3rd, 4th and even 5th as Paddy Power pay out to five places on the Grand National! The each way bet is really two bets in one, a £5 each way bet will cost you £10. You’re betting £5 that you horse wins and £5 that he will finish in one of the places (usually 2nd, 3rd, 4th and 5th with Paddy Power).
Sounds like a fantastic bet, right? And it is for the Grand National but remember few bookies are registered charities. So to compensate for your increased chances of winning they reduce the quoted odds on the place part of the bet. If your horse comes home 1st you’ll still get the full quoted odds, lets say 10/1. However, should he only place, you’ll only get a quarter of the quoted odds. Nevertheless, with many runners in the National at odds of 33/1 or greater that still offers a decent return.