Grab your free £20 from Paddy Power for this year’s Grand National.
2015 GRAND NATIONAL RUNNERS & ODDS
Find out which horses are running and their latest odds…
Added the Irish Grand National to his growing collection of trophies in 2014, a haul which also includes a Novice Chase win at Aintree . Speculation is mounting that champion jockey AP McCoy who recently shocked the racing world with news of his impending retirement will partner Shutthefrontdoor for is last ride at Aintree. The current odds reflect how formidable this pairing could be.
NO. 14 | JOCKEY: UNKNOWN | FORM:12461-1 | WEIGHT: 11-02 | AGE: 8 | TRAINER: J. O’NEILL
Second in the 2014 Grand National and based on that performance you’d expect him to go close again. Raised a few pounds by the handicapper for the 2015 renewal but that shouldn’t be a major concern for this smart chaser. Despite the short odds each-way punters could still see a profit if they back the King.
NO. 12 | JOCKEY: UNKNOWN | FORM: 112-F11 | WEIGHT: 11-02 | AGE: 11 | TRAINER: P. HOBBS
Odds on Unioniste tumbled after a good win at Sandown was followed up with a third place in the Betfair Denman Chase at Newbury. He’s already won twice at Aintree including a Novices’ Chase in 2012. However, the fact remains it’s been over 75 years since a horse this young has won the Grand National
NO. 6 | JOCKEY: UNKNOWN | FORM:38-613 | WEIGHT: 11-06 | AGE: 7 | TRAINER: P. NICHOLLS
Finished 5th in the 2014 National and capable of going even better in 2015 but he will carry a higher weight this time round. Pulled up last time out in the Hennessy Gold Cup but that remains the only blot on his copybook.
NO.10 | JOCKEY: UNKNOWN | FORM:225-2P | WEIGHT: 11-03 | AGE: 9 | TRAINER: P. NICHOLLS
Winner of the Scottish Grand National back in 2013, and scored a 2nd place in the same race a year later. Godsmejudge is one of only a few horses entered into this year’s National to have won at four miles plus. However, he was pulled up at Doncaster in January, his only outing since finishing 3rd at Sandown in April 2014.
NO. 36 | JOCKEY: UNKNOWN | FORM: PP23-P | WEIGHT: 10-08 | AGE: 9 | TRAINER: ALAN KING
A case of “always the bridesmaid – never the bride” for Merry King, having placed in the Hennessy Gold Cup (twice), the Scottish Grand National (twice) and The Peter Marsh Chase. On-the-nose backers might want to look elsewhere, but eachway punters could make merry with the king. Remember Paddy Power payout to five places!
JOCKEY: UNKNOWN | FORM:3P4-33 | WEIGHT: 0.0 | AGE: 8 | TRAINER: JONJO O’NEILL
BACK IN FOCUS
The Willie Mullins trained horse has obvious quality and is being specifically pointed at Aintree. Recently he finished 6th at Navan in February after a lengthy absence due to injury. If he can get him back to his best form in time for the National then this Irish raider could pose be a real threat to the rest of the field.
NO. 20 | JOCKEY: UNKNOWN | FORM: 1114/6 | WEIGHT: 10-13 | AGE: 10 | TRAINER: W. MULLINS
A Winner of the Kim Muir H’Cap Chase at Cheltenham in 2014 Spring Heeled has been handed a fair weight for the Grand National but with an entry into the Gold Cup in March it remains to be seen if he’ll contest both races.
NO. 23 | JOCKEY: UNKNOWN | FORM: 8015-4 | WEIGHT: 10-12 | AGE: 8 | TRAINER: JIM CULLOTY
PINEAU DE RE
The Grand National winner in 2014 has been given an extra 8lbs to carry this time round and that weight is likely to rise as other horses get withdrawn, back-to-back wins are not impossible but it seems unlikely Pineau De Re will repeat his success of 12 months ago.
NO. 19 | JOCKEY: UNKNOWN | FORM: 31-0P8 | WEIGHT: 11-00 | AGE: 12 | TRAINER: DR R NEWLAND
Winner at Cheltenham in November and followed that up with another win in the Betfred Chase at Aintree in December, Sam Winner is on a roll. But he has been heavily weighted and that is likely to increase even further so he may opt out and go to the Cheltenham Gold Cup instead.
NO. 4 | JOCKEY: UNKNOWN | FORM: 5P-113 | WEIGHT: 11-08 | AGE: 8 | TRAINER: P. NICHOLLS
A 40/1 winner of the Scottish Grand National in 2014, Al Co is a solid horse who can go the distance but is not on form this season and from two starts has finished last at Haydock and pulled up in the Becher Chase.
NO. 34 | JOCKEY: UNKNOWN | FORM: 201-0P | WEIGHT: 10-08 | AGE: 10 | TRAINER: P. BOWEN
Unseated his jockey in 2014 but previously ran a cracker in 2013 coming third and has been given a lot less weight in 2015 which will help his chances. Having a good season so far and no doubt he’ll be a popular selection with punters.
NO. 41 | JOCKEY: UNKNOWN | FORM: 28U-14 | WEIGHT: 10-07 | AGE: 11 | TRAINER: R. CURTIS
Royale Knight could be another ace up Dr Richard Newland’s sleeve this year and similar to Pineau De Re is a decent runner who has never fallen, refused or unseated his jockey and only pulled up once in his career back in 2012. A place in the race is not guaranteed so only time will tell if he makes the cut.
NO. 68 | JOCKEY: UNKNOWN | FORM: 23-413 | WEIGHT: 10-02 | AGE: 9 | TRAINER: DR. R. NEWLAND
A fair way behind the leaders in 2014 but finished the race in 7th place. Has had a good season so far and was third in the Grand National Trial at Haydock in February. On a similar weight as last year and could give another good account of himself on April 11th.
NO. 40 | JOCKEY: UNKNOWN | FORM: 7-2443 | WEIGHT: 10-07 | AGE: 10 | TRAINER: M. SCUDAMORE
Finished a worthy 4th in the 2014 National, despite initially not even making the cut. Could do very well in 2015 as he will carry an ideal weight, is experienced over the fences, has previously placed and is the statistically the right age.
NO. 57 | JOCKEY: UNKNOWN | FORM: 51P4-5 | WEIGHT: 10-03 | AGE: 10 | TRAINER: F. O’BRIEN
Third in the Irish Grand National in 2013, Home Farm is a handy horse who notched up another win in November at Thurles but fell in the Lexus Chase, could only manage 7th place from eight runners in the Hennessy Gold Cup and is also entered into the Cheltenham Gold Cup!
NO. 13 | JOCKEY: UNKNOWN | FORM: 7P-1F7 | WEIGHT: 11-02 | AGE: 8 | TRAINER: H. DE BROMHEAD
CAUSE OF CAUSES
Plenty of redeeming features including the fact that he has never pulled up, refused, unseated his rider and only fallen once back in 2012 but hasn’t won a race since January 2013. He did come second in the Paddy Power Chase 2013, but hasn’t made an impact this season and is only seven years old which will count against him.
NO. 30 | JOCKEY: UNKNOWN | FORM: 220-75 | WEIGHT: 10-09 | AGE: 7 | TRAINER: G. ELLIOTT
A 9-year-old owned by J.P. McManus, Carlingford Lough is joint top weighted horse for the Grand National 2015 and has already been confirmed as a runner in the Cheltenham Gold Cup with AP McCoy on board so the chances that he will also run in the National are very slim.
NO. 1 | JOCKEY: UNKNOWN | FORM: U6-151 | WEIGHT: 11-10 | AGE: 9 | TRAINER: J. KIELY
First Lieutenant is trained by Mouse Morris. A very high profile horse who has earned connections over £500K during his career and has previously won at Aintree in the Betfred Bowl Chase but will carry a lot of weight for the Grand National so may opt to go to Cheltenham instead.
NO. 9 | JOCKEY: UNKNOWN | FORM: 4-2468 | WEIGHT: 11-03 | AGE: 10 | TRAINER: M. MORRIS
Just 8 years old and trained by Warren Greatrex, Dolatulo has raced a lot for his age with 36 starts under race rules. Of them, 13 have been chases from which he’s won four and placed a further five times. His first trip to Aintree was the recent Becher Chase where he finished 8th.
NO. 24 | JOCKEY: UNKNOWN | FORM: 02818 | WEIGHT: 10-11 | AGE: 8 | TRAINER: W. GREATREX
LIVING NEXT DOOR
Winner of the Paddy Power Chase in December 2014, Living Next Door got a huge boost in his rating to make the cut for the Grand National 2015. Despite that big win, it was his first in nearly two years and he simply isn’t consistent enough to seriously consider but will be heavily supported by those called ‘Alice’.
NO. 27 | JOCKEY: UNKNOWN | FORM: U5-701 | WEIGHT: 10-10 | AGE: 9 | TRAINER: A.J. MARTIN
With only six chase starts with two wins and no places from Gallant Oscar and the fact that he is number 77 on the list, it’s unlikely that we will see him line-up this year.
NO. 77 | JOCKEY: UNKNOWN | FORM: U-1224 | WEIGHT: 9-13 | AGE: 9 | TRAINER: A.J. MARTIN
This horse is on a roll with three back-to-back wins at Carlisle, Newbury and most recently at Cheltenham in January. Usually paired with Leighton Aspell, he will carry near top weight which may hinder him but the chances are he will run in the Cheltenham Gold Cup instead.
NO. 3 | JOCKEY: UNKNOWN | FORM: B4-111 | WEIGHT: 11-09 | AGE: 8 | TRAINER: O. SHERWOOD
The highest rated horse entered for the Grand National 2015 and joint top weight on 11-10, Lord Windermere is an exceptional horse with a Cheltenham Gold Cup under his belt from 2014, which was on the back of a RSA Chase win in 2013 but will more likely go to Cheltenham than Aintree.
NO. 2 | JOCKEY: UNKNOWN | FORM: 61-373 | WEIGHT: 11-10 | AGE: 9 | TRAINER: J. CULLOTY
PRINCE DE BEAUCHENE
A fourth consecutive entry into the Grand National for Prince De Beauchene though he has only started in one and that was last year where he finished in 16th. Is having a better season this time around and currently on three back to back wins though his age will go against him in the race.
NO. 45 | JOCKEY: UNKNOWN | FORM: 0-9111 | WEIGHT: 10-06 | AGE: 12 | TRAINER: W. MULLINS
Has all the right credentials for the Grand National – weight, age, form etc…and did run in the 2013 National where he finished in 9th place so he can get around the course and the fences. His only obvious downside is that he has only won two chases despite 21 starts but one of them was at Aintree in 2012.
NO. 46 | JOCKEY: UNKNOWN | FORM: F-3331 | WEIGHT: 10-06 | AGE: 9 | TRAINER: T. GEORGE
Ran in the 2013 Grand National to finish 7th so can get around the fences and go the distance. Moved from Jo Hughes to David Pipe in 2014 and has had one run under his new trainer which he won at Exeter in February 2015 but may have a long way to go before he is guaranteed a run in the Grand National 2015.
NO. 69 | JOCKEY: UNKNOWN | FORM: 750-P1 | WEIGHT: 10-02 | AGE: 10 | TRAINER: D. PIPE
The oldest horse entered this year at 14 but with a win in the Becher over the Grand National fences in December he seems unstoppable. Twice previously placed in the Grand National and a win would make history for this stalworth of national hunt racing. His age goes against him but almost nothing else does.
NO. 49 | JOCKEY: UNKNOWN | FORM: 111U1 | WEIGHT: 10-05 | AGE: 14 | TRAINER: R. WALEY-COHEN
THE DRUIDS NEPHEW
Has never raced at Aintree and while chase wins are short on supply, just two from twelve starts, he’s capable of getting around and has had a decent season so far with four runs resulting in a win at Huntingdon and a second at Cheltenham.
NO. 33 | JOCKEY: UNKNOWN | FORM: P-1275 | WEIGHT: 10-09 | AGE: 8 | TRAINER: N. MULHOLLAND
ACROSS THE BAY
Desperately unlucky to be pushed off course by a loose horse in 2014 having led for most of the way around. He has not been on form this season and with three poor results will need to find a lot more to be in with a shout in the Grand National.
NO. 43 | JOCKEY: UNKNOWN | FORM: U0-800 | WEIGHT: 10-06 | AGE: 11 | TRAINER: D. MCCAIN
Was disappointing at Cheltenham but made up for it by winning the Bet365 Gold Cup Chase six weeks later at Sandown in April 2014. Will carry a lot of weight in the Grand National and pulled up at Sandown so work still needs to be done if he is expected to do well.
NO. 17 | JOCKEY: UNKNOWN | FORM: 101-6P | WEIGHT: 11-00 | AGE: 8 | TRAINER: N. HENDERSON
NIGHT IN MILAN
Has returned a win or a place in 12 of his 17 chase starts, a solid and consistent jumper who frequently carries more than he has been given for the Grand National and the right age statistically so could be there or thereabouts on the day.
NO. 31 | JOCKEY: UNKNOWN | FORM: 1-4023 | WEIGHT: 10-09 | AGE: 9 | TRAINER: K. REVELEY
Finished 11th in the Becher Chase 2014 but followed it up with a solid win at Cheltenham in January 2015. Plenty of chase starts under his belt, 18 in total, returning six wins and another four places for connections.
NO. 25 | JOCKEY: UNKNOWN | FORM: 81-P01 | WEIGHT: 10-11 | AGE: 9 | TRAINER: P. NICHOLLS
Trained by Paul Nicholls, Benvolio is the 2014 Welsh national runner-up and a chaser who has won two and placed in three of his seven starts. At 8 years of age, he hasn’t the experience of some of his fellow entrants with a total of just 11 runs under race rules, including four over hurdles.
NO. 35 | JOCKEY: UNKNOWN | FORM: 32-42P | WEIGHT: 10-08 | AGE: 8 | TRAINER: P. NICHOLLS
This season Rebel Rebellion has had six races, winning at Ascot, a second place at Exeter and a fifth place at Aintree from the Grand Sefton Handicap Chase, which he won in 2013. A decent each-way bet as he’s always there or there abouts in the money.
NO. 22 | JOCKEY: UNKNOWN | FORM: 745412 | WEIGHT: 10-12 | AGE: 10 | TRAINER: P. NICHOLLS
A well raced horse who has had three starts in January 2015 alone, Theatrical Star has won five and placed eight times from his 20 chase starts and could be a decent each-way bet given the number of times he has finished in the top 5 of his races but a place in the race is not yet guaranteed.
NO. 70 | JOCKEY: UNKNOWN | FORM: 51U22 | WEIGHT: 10-02 | AGE: 9 | TRAINER: C. TIZZARD
Winner of the Grand Sefton Handicap Chase at Aintree in 2014, Poole Master is trained by David Pipe and has been given a favourable weight from the handicapper. Tends to perform better when the going is on the softer side so will be hoping for a bit of rain to boost his chances and did pull up last time out.
NO. 28 | JOCKEY: UNKNOWN | FORM: F616P | WEIGHT: 10-10 | AGE: 10 | TRAINER: D. PIPE
Odds Updated 19/02/2015
We give each horse a rating based on how closely it matches the past trends and statistics of previous winners.
Unlikely to mount a serious challenge.
Could place with a slice of luck.
A strong eachway chance and could even win it.
The horses listed above are official entrants in the 2015 Grand National. However, this does not guarantee they will take part in the race. As such the odds quoted by the bookies currently are still under ante-post rules.
The phrase ‘Ante Post’ refers to a bet placed in advance of the overnight declaration stage. In simple terms this means you won’t get your stake back if your horse doesn’t run in the race for any reason. The main advantage of betting ante post is you’re likely to get bigger odds from the bookmakers in the weeks leading up the Grand National than you will on the day of the race itself (11th April 2015) although this is not guaranteed.
Odds can change frequently in the months leading up to the race for many reasons. A horses performance in a prep race, injuries and even excessive rain can all affect a runners price.
We generally advise not placing a bet until the bookmakers confirm they’re ‘non runner – no bet’ on the Grand National. Recently the trend has been for online betting firms to announce this seven days prior to the race. Which is fantastic news for punters as it guarantees your stake will be returned even if your horse doesn’t make the final line-up at Aintree. Until then why not take a look at the current odds on those runners likely to take part in the 2015 Crabbie’s Grand National.
Who Decides The Runners & Riders?
Every year 40 horses line up at the start of the Aintree Grand National and 600 million people worldwide tune in to watch them tackle the 30 notoriously difficult fences in a bid to put themselves into the history books. But how do those particular runners and riders make it to Grand National day?
A horse will be entered into the Grand National if it meets the minimum criteria for qualification and the owner and trainer feel the their horse is capable of handling the race. Not all horses are suited to the long Aintree course or have the necessary jumping ability. Even if a horse gets entered that doesn’t guarantee a place at the starting line.
The race is open to seven year old and upwards that have been placed first, second, third or fourth in a chase of three miles or more and who are allotted a rating of at least 120 by the BHA Handicapper.
The entry date for the race is always at the end of January, with the names and numbers announced by the BHA (British Horseracing Authority) the following day. In 2014 there were 115 entries, an increase of 31 on the 2013 renewal.
The BHA Head Of Handicapping then takes the list of entries and frames the weights, in other words, he decides which horses will carry the heaviest weights and which will carry the least. The handicap system is designed to give every horse a fair chance of winning the race, good horses will carry more weight than those perceived to have less ability.
The maximum weight any horse can carry in the 2015 Grand National will be 11st 10lbs and the minimum is 10st. Each runner’s weight will be largely determined by their OR (Official Rating) and the higher the rating, the higher the weight. Although the Grand National is the only race in Britain in which the Handicapper can ignoring the official ratings if he wishes, often to the consternation of owners and trainers.
Horses are then put in descending order from the highest to the lowest weighted and that also determines their race number. The top-weighted horse is number one, second heaviest weighted horse is number two and so on.
The weights are then announced, usually in mid-February, and from then on a series of ‘Declaration Stages’ take place. At each of these stages, horses can be withdrawn from the proceedings by their trainers and as they are removed and the entries get whittled down so even horses that have not initially made the Top 40 may now do so as entries above them are taken out.
The very last declaration stage takes place at 10am on the Thursday immediately before Grand National day. This is the point where the top 40 horses will be near completion along with four additional reserves.
The following morning, Friday, at 9am any non-runners must be declared and be replaced by one of the four reserves. This is also the point where any horses who were previously allocated weights of less than 10st will have their weight increased to meet requirements.
Finally this results in the 40 declared horses who will line up for the 2015 Crabbies Grand National.
The criteria for professional or amateur jockeys wanting to taking part in the race are very specific. They must have ridden not less than 15 winners in chases or hurdle races under the Rules of Racing and/or the Rules of the Irish National Hunt Committee and ridden not less than 10 of these winners in chases.
A champion jockey like A.P. McCoy who primarily rides for super owner J.P. McManus may have his pick of three or four horses in the race. Ruby Walsh is another top jockey who can often choose his ride and odds will tumble on any horses chosen by the pair.
Amateur jockeys are now a rarity in the Grand National compared with races early days. Sam Whaley-Cohen is probably the most famous amateur rider in recent years and he enjoys a record over the Aintree fences which is the envy of many a professional.
Other jockeys will usually ride for the yards that retain them or a trainer will engage their services just for this race. In recent years a number of high profile jockeys have missed the race due to injuries picked up at the Cheltenham festival which is the last major National Hunt meeting before Aintree.
Don’t be put off backing a less well known jockey or even one who has never ridden the course before. In 2013 jockey Ryan Mania won the race at his first attempt!
What Are Odds?
The odds quoted on any horse in the Grand National represent your potential returns if that horse should win. If a horse is quoted as 10/1 then the 10 figure is the amount you’ll get back from the bookie for a 1 unit stake. In other words, bet £1 and you’ll win £10 back. You’ll also get back the original £1 stake, making a total return of £11.
Who Decides The Odds?
The simple answer is the bookmakers. Initially bookies will offer odds on all the horses running in the National and the bookmaker is aiming to show a profit on the race regardless of the outcome. In many ways the bookmaker doesn’t care who wins, because if he can get the maths right, he will always come out on top. Although this doesn’t always happen over one race.
In a perfect world the spread of bets on the race would guarantee the bookie a nice profit whoever wins. However, if punters keep placing bets on one horse, lets call his horse ‘Lucky Punter’, at a level disproportionate to other runners then the bookie has built up a potential liability. If ‘Lucky Punter’ wins the race the bookie will lose a fortune and they really don’t like losing! To stop this happening the bookmaker has a couple of options. They can offer bigger odds on other runners and simultaneously shorten the odds on ‘Lucky Punter’ in the hope of attracting bets away from the horse with the big liability and onto other runners. This is why you see the odds fluctuating right up until the off.
So the bookmaker sets the odds initially but the volume of money place on any runner will move the odds right up until the race starts.
What’s An Each Way Bet?
The ‘Each Way’ bet works like this… Instead of betting on a horse to come 1st you can make a bet that your horse can finish 1st, 2nd, 3rd, 4th and even 5th as Paddy Power pay out to five places on the Grand National! The each way bet is really two bets in one, a £5 each way bet will cost you £10. You’re betting £5 that you horse wins and £5 that he will finish in one of the places (usually 2nd, 3rd, 4th and 5th with Paddy Power).
Sounds like a fantastic bet, right? And it is for the Grand National but remember few bookies are registered charities. So to compensate for your increased chances of winning they reduce the quoted odds on the place part of the bet. If your horse comes home 1st you’ll still get the full quoted odds, lets say 10/1. However, should he only place, you’ll only get a quarter of the quoted odds. Nevertheless, with many runners in the National at odds of 33/1 or greater that still offers a decent return.